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Global Banking Group Warns of Market Correction Ahead

Uncertainty breeds volatility. That’s why even though volatility levels are near record lows, the Institute of International Finance sees choppy markets ahead.
Investors have been willing to take on more risk, pushing borrowing costs down and buoying stock values, amid strengthening confidence in the U.S. and global recoveries. But with perhaps too much exuberance, says IIF Executive Managing Director Hung Tran.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/23/global-banking-group-warns-of-market-correction-ahead/?mod=marketbeat

Fed Worries About Effects of Its New Interest Rate Tool on Markets

When the Federal Reserve started tests late last year of its so-called reverse repo facility, some officials hoped it would play a starring role in the campaign to raise interest rates when the time comes.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/22/fed-worries-about-effects-of-its-new-interest-rate-tool-on-markets/?mod=marketbeat

More Firms Are Handing Out Pay Raises, NABE Survey Finds

The share of U.S. firms giving pay raises has nearly tripled since last fall, according to a new survey of business economists by the National Association for Business Economics, though official data on U.S. workers’ earnings haven’t shown any broad acceleration in wage growth.
Some 43% of the NABE members who responded to the survey, released Monday, said wages and salaries at their firms have risen in the past three months. No respondents said wages had fallen, and 57% said wages were unchanged in the second quarter.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/21/more-firms-are-handing-out-pay-raises-nabe-survey-finds/?mod=marketbeat

California Finally Regains Prerecession Jobs High Amid an Uneven National Recovery

Most U.S. states in June still hadn’t regained all the jobs lost in the recession that ended five years earlier, the latest reminder of the recovery’s unevenness.
But one particularly important state reached that milestone last month: California, the nation’s largest labor market accounting for about 11% all of U.S. jobs, finally topped its July 2007 peak for nonfarm employment.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/18/california-finally-regains-prerecession-jobs-high-amid-an-uneven-national-recovery/?mod=marketbeat

WSJ Survey: Economists Worry the Fed Will Keep Rates Low Too Long

Many more economists worry the Federal Reserve will wait too long to raise interest rates than think it will tighten policy too quickly, according to The Wall Street Journal’s latest survey.
Some 79% of the 42 economists who answered the question said the greater risk is that the Fed will raise rates too late, versus 21% who said the greater risk is that the Fed will raise rates too soon.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/17/most-economists-surveyed-worry-the-fed-will-keep-rates-low-too-long/?mod=WSJBlog
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