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Business Economists See Lower Interest Rates than the Fed Sees in Late 2015

Business economists are skeptical that the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate will top 1% by the end of next year as central bank officials project.
The poll of 46 professional forecasters by the National Association for Business Economics pegged the federal-funds rate target at 0.845% at the end of 2015. That reading is well below the median 1.25-to-1.50% range Fed officials themselves projected for the end of next year in forecasts released earlier this month.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/29/business-economists-see-lower-interest-rates-than-the-fed-sees-in-late-2015/?mod=WSJBlog

One Good Sign the Economy Is Staying Strong: Your Payroll Tax Withholdings

The U.S. economy grew at a 4.6% annual rate in the second quarter, according to the latest report from the Commerce Department. But leaves are turning brown now and this morning’s report describes what happened from April to June. How has the overall economy performed since then?
Here’s some evidence the strength has continued.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/26/one-good-sign-the-economy-is-staying-strong-your-payroll-tax-withholdings/?mod=marketbeat

Why Fears of a Subprime Auto Bubble Are Overblown—For Now

Subprime lending has roared back in the auto sector over the last four years, raising concerns about another debt-fueled bubble.
Vox weighed in Tuesday, saying the uptick in lending to borrowers with weaker credit amounted to “a disaster.” Let’s take a deep breath and look at the facts:
1.  There is no subprime auto loan bubble right now.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/24/why-fears-of-a-subprime-auto-bubble-are-overblown-for-now/?mod=WSJBlog

The EU’s GDP Is Bigger Than Thought — But Hold the Bubbly

On Oct. 17, the European Union will get some good news: That day, the bloc’s statistics office will announce that the EU economy is actually around 2.5% bigger than previously thought.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/24/the-eus-gdp-is-bigger-than-thought-but-hold-the-bubbly/?mod=WSJBlog

Why Wall Street Cares About Inequality

First, it was Standard & Poor’s.  Now, Morgan Stanley weighs in on income inequality in a new report. Why are these Wall Street institutions, normally focused on macroeconomic issues directly related to gross domestic product forecasts, suddenly chiming in on the issue?


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/22/why-wall-street-cares-about-inequality/?mod=WSJBlog

5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar

Economic reports scheduled for next week will offer new looks at the spring growth spurt, August home sales and durable goods activity. In addition, a slew of Federal Reserve officials are set to speak about the economy and monetary policy. Here are five points of interest on tap next week:


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/19/5-things-to-watch-on-the-economic-calendar-35/?mod=WSJBlog

Travelers—and Airfare Spending—Take Flight With Improving Economy

In a sign that the scars from the financial crisis maybe healing, travelers in the U.S. are spending more on flights while slowing outlays on typically less-expensive forms of transportation such as cars, trains and buses.


Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/09/18/travelers-and-airfare-spending-take-flight-with-improving-economy/?mod=marketbeat
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